Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 347.035803 393.210048 444.388696 505.521574 576.817955 657.651006 756.671893
2025-10-26 270.624421 329.340951 400.184059 492.732333 611.587364 760.650579 964.207555
2025-11-02 228.939277 291.905904 372.251411 483.755635 636.821517 843.028910 1147.847547
2025-11-09 207.619340 275.105562 365.326078 497.112362 688.714290 963.587840 1399.922378
2025-11-16 186.794154 255.383503 350.649015 495.856109 717.456871 1052.996371 1619.936192
2025-11-23 168.771392 236.989487 334.897252 489.753909 736.381663 1128.254983 1829.035532
2025-11-30 156.197627 224.798556 326.292248 492.477835 768.068174 1226.707986 2093.624225
2025-12-07 142.770891 209.825216 311.642369 483.420901 778.521974 1290.146140 2306.558768
2025-12-14 132.414262 198.467711 301.251716 479.665139 796.730751 1368.721479 2562.181763
2025-12-21 120.208048 183.087381 282.916211 460.320280 784.624095 1389.581791 2705.782951
2025-12-28 116.024274 180.149325 284.446688 475.153306 836.041558 1537.703082 3146.616640
2026-01-04 112.961931 178.719859 288.237086 494.213101 897.685273 1715.637429 3695.019531
2026-01-11 107.014731 172.087732 282.720505 496.000282 926.733231 1833.233370 4136.897160
2026-01-18 99.313818 161.873139 270.071613 483.021502 924.321319 1883.159437 4425.062947
2026-01-25 93.010468 153.608250 260.188227 474.273836 929.422757 1950.435899 4775.689800
2026-02-01 90.311829 151.503117 261.302762 487.320691 982.943096 2138.985174 5512.369204
2026-02-08 85.950259 146.058723 255.716819 486.093601 1004.577283 2254.641396 6072.991628
2026-02-15 81.371780 139.888583 248.246400 480.132646 1014.526190 2342.771852 6576.424833
2026-02-22 78.186063 136.081263 245.010681 482.793560 1045.016328 2489.684382 7316.644715
2026-03-01 73.951636 130.010211 236.864530 473.945899 1046.508209 2559.047622 7817.651986
2026-03-08 70.595149 125.405899 231.301020 470.276717 1060.380540 2665.577074 8488.778402
2026-03-15 65.913668 117.957277 219.476845 451.375893 1033.224539 2649.871375 8699.978084
2026-03-22 64.870160 117.569065 222.079051 465.868735 1094.773625 2908.300456 10080.552213